Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alex De Minaur		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.42	3.11
	1.43	2.92	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.64	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.36)	2.84 ↓ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
66.4%

Ugo Humbert
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	0%	44%

Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Humbert will win (votes: 11 - 44%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Humbert (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Humbert (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 4 - 40%). Humbert (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8. Humbert is ranked ATP: 36.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 4.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Humbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

De Minaur could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
27.01.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Rotterdam
13.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
15.06.24	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	2:0
ATP Atlanta
28.07.23	Ugo Humbert - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Lyon
17.05.22	Ugo Humbert - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Barcelona
20.04.22	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	2:1
ATP Cup
06.01.22	Ugo Humbert - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Antwerp
25.10.20	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	0:2

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