Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday


	Daniil Medvedev		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.49	2.55
	1.48	3
	1.48	2.64	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.52	2.61	Watch
	1.44	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)	2.7 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
64.7%

Ugo Humbert
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Humbert (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Humbert is ranked ATP: 38.

Medvedev is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Humbert has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Medvedev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
22.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Fabian Marozsan	3:2 ✺
20.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Quentin Halys	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jesper De Jong	3:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
11.01.26	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Ben Shelton - Ugo Humbert	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
16.01.26	Ugo Humbert - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
01.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Beijing
02.10.23	Ugo Humbert - Daniil Medvedev	1:2
ATP Cup
01.01.22	Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert	1:2
ATP Hamburg
22.09.20	Daniil Medvedev - Ugo Humbert	0:2

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