Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Alex Knaff		Francesco Forti

	1	2
			Watch
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	1.23	3.77	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.34)	2.19 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Knaff
53.6%

Francesco Forti
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Knaff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Knaff's performance.

Francesco Forti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Forti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Knaff than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Knaff that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Forti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alex Knaff - Francesco Forti Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Knaff will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Forti will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Knaff is ranked ATP: 684. Forti is ranked ATP: 654.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Knaff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Forti will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Knaff
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Alex Knaff	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Oskari Paldanius - Alex Knaff	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Peter Alam - Alex Knaff	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Calvin Mueller - Alex Knaff	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Alex Knaff - Oleksii Krutykh	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWW?
- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Francesco Forti - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.02.26	Jacopo Vasami - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Daniel Masur - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Francesco Forti - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Jan Jermar - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW

Alex Knaff - Francesco Forti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide