Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Surbiton (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Smith L. (Gbr)


	Alex Michelsen		Paul Jubb

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.65
	1.52	2.65
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.51	2.47	Watch
	1.46	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	2.58 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
63.6%

Paul Jubb
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Paul Jubb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paul Jubb than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paul Jubb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Alex Michelsen - Paul Jubb Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jubb will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Michelsen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jubb is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jubb could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michelsen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Alex De Minaur - Alex Michelsen	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.24	Alex Michelsen - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
22.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Alex Michelsen - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWL
- Paul Jubb
ATP Challenger
03.06.24	Omar Jasika - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
02.06.24	Paul Jubb - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
24.05.24	Robin Bertrand - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
23.05.24	Paul Jubb - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
22.05.24	Paul Jubb - Altug Celikbilek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.10.22	Alex Michelsen - Paul Jubb	0:2

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