Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva (Switzerland), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Campistol J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Alex Michelsen		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	3	1.38	Watch
	3.13	1.41
	2.93	1.47
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.94	1.41	Watch
	3	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.74)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
32.5%

Tomas Machac
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Alex Michelsen - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Michelsen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Machac is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Michelsen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Machac will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Geneva
22.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Alex Michelsen - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Alex Michelsen - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWL
- Tomas Machac
ATP Geneva
22.05.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
21.05.24	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Tomas Machac - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Tomas Machac - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Tomas Machac - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WW?LW

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