Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain), grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 June 2024, Thursday

Referee: Lichtenstein R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Docu
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6


	Alex Michelsen		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.69	2.29
	1.7	2.3
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.76	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	2.17 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
55.9%

Sebastian Ofner
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Ofner will win (votes: 10 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 61.6% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ofner is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Michelsen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Mallorca
25.06.24	Adrian Mannarino - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
23.06.24	Nuno Borges - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.24	Matteo Berrettini - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Alex Michelsen - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Alex Michelsen - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Mallorca
25.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.24	Corentin Moutet - Sebastian Ofner	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

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