Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Nuno Borges		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2.25
	1.7	2.13	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.12	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	2.12 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
55.3%

Alex Michelsen
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	7.1%	28.6%

Nuno Borges - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Michelsen (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 40. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 32.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Borges may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Borges won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Nuno Borges - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Alex Michelsen - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Giovanni Fonio - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
23.06.24	Nuno Borges - Alex Michelsen	0:2
ATP Auckland
07.01.24	Alex Michelsen - Nuno Borges	1:2

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