Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart (Germany), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Sebastian Ofner		Jack Draper

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.26
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.27
	4.08	1.26
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	3.85	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (2.1)	1.26 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
24.3%

Jack Draper
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Sebastian Ofner - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Draper will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ofner is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draper is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Draper is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.24	Corentin Moutet - Sebastian Ofner	3:1 ✺
30.05.24	Sebastian Ofner - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
26.05.24	Terence Atmane - Sebastian Ofner	2:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.24	Sebastian Ofner - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
20.05.24	Rinky Hijikata - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLW
- Jack Draper
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Jack Draper - Jesper De Jong	2:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.24	Tomas Machac - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Jack Draper - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL

Sebastian Ofner - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide