Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEXT GEN FINALS - JEDDAH (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1
World	Eurosport 2


	Alex Michelsen		Hamad Medjedovic

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.12
	1.76	2.1
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.8	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.24)	2.04 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
53.7%

Hamad Medjedovic
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Hamad Medjedovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamad Medjedovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamad Medjedovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	0%	25.7%

Alex Michelsen - Hamad Medjedovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Medjedovic will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Played with special rules.

Michelsen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Medjedovic is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Medjedovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Patrick Kypson - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Titouan Droguet - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
17.11.23	Martin Damm - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW
- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Jakub Mensik - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
15.11.23	Stefano Travaglia - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
07.11.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.23	Benjamin Hassan - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Jordan Thompson - Hamad Medjedovic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLL?

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