Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEXT GEN FINALS - JEDDAH (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1
World	Eurosport 2


	Luca Van Assche		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.41	2.96
	1.41	2.97
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.96	Watch
	1.41	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	2.91 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
67.5%

Alex Michelsen
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Luca Van Assche - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Played with special rules.

Van Assche is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Michelsen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Next Gen Finals
29.11.23	Luca Van Assche - Hamad Medjedovic	1:3 ✺
28.11.23	Luca Van Assche - Abedallah Shelbayh	3:1 ✺
ATP Metz
09.11.23	Luca Van Assche - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Luca Van Assche	Wawrinka S. retired ✺
06.11.23	Luca Van Assche - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWL?W
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Next Gen Finals
29.11.23	Alex Michelsen - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:3 ✺
28.11.23	Alex Michelsen - Hamad Medjedovic	2:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Patrick Kypson - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Titouan Droguet - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
17.11.23	Martin Damm - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW

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