Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Alex Michelsen		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.6
	1.23	3.7	Watch
	1.26	3.97
	1.26	3.87	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.27	3.8	Watch
	1.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.4)	3.76 ↑ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
75%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yasutaka Uchiyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yasutaka Uchiyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alex Michelsen - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 47. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 160.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Uchiyama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex Michelsen	3:0 ✺
27.08.24	Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Michelsen	Carreno-Busta P. retired ✺
22.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWL?W
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Sumit Nagal - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
18.09.24	Mitchell Krueger - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Maxime Cressy - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LW?WW

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