Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Referee: Nour A. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.95	1.95
	1.88	2	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.84	1.97	Watch
	1.8	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.22)	1.96 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
51.2%

Alex Michelsen
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	0%	25.8%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Michelsen will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 300. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 52.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Learner Tien - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Omni Kumar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWW?
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Marton Fucsovics - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

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