Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Alex Molcan		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.81	1.41
	2.9	1.47
	2.83	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.45
	2.88	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.69)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
33.4%

Benjamin Bonzi
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Alex Molcan - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: Benjamin Bonzi will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 75. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 109.

Recent performances by Molcan have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bonzi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bonzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bonzi is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bonzi will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 64.61%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Alex Molcan - Chun Hsin Tseng	Molcan A. Retired ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Alex Molcan - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
17.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LWWL
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Winston-Salem
28.08.26	Ignacio Buse - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Rinky Hijikata - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWWW

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