Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Alexander Bublik		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.7	2.38
	1.61	2.32	Watch
	1.66	2.2
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	2.34 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.00

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
59.3%

Alex Molcan
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alexander Bublik - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Molcan will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 50%). Molcan (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Bublik (2.44) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Bublik (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Molcan (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 11. Molcan is ranked ATP: 81.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bublik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bublik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.75%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
02.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Alexander Bublik	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Alex Molcan - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
17.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Alex Molcan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Dino Prizmic - Alex Molcan	Prizmic D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
14.04.26	Alex Molcan - Alexander Bublik	2:0

Upcoming Matches