Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Molcan		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.71	2.30
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.66	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
56.6%

Sebastian Ofner
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alex Molcan - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Ofner will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 1 - 50%). Ofner (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 101. Ofner is ranked ATP: 125.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molcan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Molcan - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Sebastian Ofner - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.75%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Umag
17.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Alex Molcan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Dino Prizmic - Alex Molcan	Prizmic D. Retired ✺
14.07.26	Alex Molcan - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alex Molcan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LW?WL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Sebastian Ofner - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Norbert Gombos - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Sebastian Ofner	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
02.08.23	Sebastian Ofner - Alex Molcan	1:2
ATP Challenger
21.04.21	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Ofner	1:2

Alex Molcan - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide