Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Damir Dzumhur		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.15	1.42
	3.01	1.41	Watch
	3.25	1.35	Watch
	3.05	1.39	Watch
	2.7	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.67)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
31.5%

Alex Molcan
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 50%). Molcan (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Alex Molcan will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 108. Molcan is ranked ATP: 101.

Dzumhur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Molcan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dzumhur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Molcan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dzumhur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Umag
16.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Zsombor Piros - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Stefan Horia Haita - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Umag
16.07.26	Alex Molcan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Dino Prizmic - Alex Molcan	Prizmic D. Retired ✺
14.07.26	Alex Molcan - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alex Molcan	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Alex Molcan - Daniel Altmaier	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
01.02.22	Alex Molcan - Damir Dzumhur	0:2
ATP Challenger
12.11.21	Alex Molcan - Damir Dzumhur	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.21	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan	0:2

Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide