Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open (France) - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alex Molcan		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.44	2.65
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.43	2.86
	1.43	2.86
	1.44	2.62
	1.46	2.66	Watch
	1.47	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.79)	2.68 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
64.9%

Bu Yunchaokete
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Molcan's performance.

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bu Yunchaokete might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bu Yunchaokete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Molcan - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Molcan will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Yunchaokete is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Molcan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Molcan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
11.05.24	Alex Molcan - Gauthier Onclin	Molcan A. retired ✺
10.05.24	Alex Molcan - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Alex Molcan - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Alex Molcan - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Matej Dodig - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?WWWL
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
12.05.24	Egor Gerasimov - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Linang Xiao - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
07.05.24	Omar Jasika - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

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