Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	Matej Dodig		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.76	1.49
	2.74	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.49)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
35.3%

Alex Molcan
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Matej Dodig - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Molcan will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Molcan (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Molcan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 268. Molcan is ranked ATP: 362.

Dodig is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Molcan is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Molcan could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Molcan will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dodig won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
21.08.25	Andrej Nedic - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Alexander Donski - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Matej Dodig - Facundo Juarez	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Matej Dodig - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWL?
- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
21.08.25	Alex Molcan - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Alexander Vasilev - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Alex Molcan - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Alex Molcan - Filip Pieczonka	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Alex Molcan - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Matej Dodig - Alex Molcan	2:0

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