Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Alex Molcan		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.49	2.65
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.43	2.73	Watch
	1.48	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.63)	2.61 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
64.1%

Marco Cecchinato
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Molcan's performance.

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Cecchinato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Cecchinato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alex Molcan - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Molcan will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

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Preview

Molcan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cecchinato is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cecchinato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Molcan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alex Molcan	Canceled ✺
02.02.24	Dusan Lajovic - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.24	Alex Molcan - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LL?WL
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Cordoba
04.02.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Nicolas Kicker - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.24	Marco Cecchinato - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
30.01.24	Marco Cecchinato - Guido Andreozzi	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Gianluca Mager - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL

Alex Molcan - Marco Cecchinato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide