Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL), CLAY (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 December 2022, Thursday


	Alexandar Lazarov		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3.05	1.31
	3.33	1.34
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.43)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandar Lazarov
29.7%

Luca Van Assche
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandar Lazarov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandar Lazarov's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandar Lazarov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandar Lazarov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	0%	87.9%

Alexandar Lazarov - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 99.02%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lazarov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Van Assche is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lazarov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Van Assche will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandar Lazarov
ATP Challenger
29.11.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
28.11.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
21.11.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Hugo Gaston	Lazarov A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWL?
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
30.11.22	Luca Van Assche - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Oleksii Krutykh - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
25.11.22	Javier Barranco Cosano - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
23.11.22	Luca Van Assche - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWW?

Alexandar Lazarov - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide