Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Alexander Blockx		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.93	1.84
	1.95	1.98
	1.92	1.92	Watch
	1.88	1.94
	1.93	1.92	Watch
	1.92	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexander Blockx
49.6%

Flavio Cobolli
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Blockx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Blockx that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blockx (votes: 1 - 50%). Cobolli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

#ad

Preview

Blockx is ranked ATP: 34. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 6.

In recent matches, Blockx has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cobolli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cobolli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Cobolli will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blockx won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Blockx
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Marco Trungelliti	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	Francisco Comesana - Flavio Cobolli	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
22.08.26	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Tommy Paul - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Blockx	0:2

Upcoming Matches