Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cincinnati 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:30	ESPN
Australia	03:30	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	14:30	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	20:30	Max Sport 1
Colombia	12:30	ESPN
Croatia	19:30	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	19:30	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	19:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	20:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	19:30	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	19:30	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	12:30	ESPN 2
Poland	19:30	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	18:30	Sport TV5, Sport TV6
Romania	20:30	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	19:30	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 5
Sweden	19:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	20:30	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	18:30	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Flavio Cobolli		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	3.20	1.35	Watch
	3.10	1.38	Watch
	3.35	1.38
	3.14	1.38	Watch
	3.15	1.39
	3.43	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	1.37 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
29.8%

Arthur Fils
70.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Fils will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Cobolli (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 23.5 Games - over (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Fils (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 2nd Set - under (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fils (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 10. Fils is ranked ATP: 21.

Now, both players are in good form.

Fils may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fils is a strong favorite.

We predict that Fils will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cobolli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.57%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.26	Tommy Paul - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Flavio Cobolli - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWL
- Arthur Fils
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Arthur Fils - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Fils	0:2
ATP Next Gen Finals
29.11.23	Arthur Fils - Flavio Cobolli	3:0

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