Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday


	Alexander Bublik		Daniel Elahi Galan

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.82	2.01
	1.84	2.06
	1.8	2
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.01)	2.02 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
52.9%

Daniel Elahi Galan
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Elahi Galan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Elahi Galan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	0%	82.1%

Alexander Bublik - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Elahi Galan will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Galan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Tomas Machac - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
14.04.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
13.04.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Tristan Boyer	Boyer T. retired ✺
11.04.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
25.03.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Alexander Bublik	1:2

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