Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.6	1.5
	2.48	1.45
	2.82	1.48
	2.62	1.44
	2.96	1.36	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.54)	1.46 (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
35.6%

Alexander Bublik
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Zhizhen Zhang - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Zhang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bublik will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Challenger
15.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
15.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Constant Lestienne	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 W?LWW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Denis Kudla - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Alexander Bublik - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexandar Lazarov	Lazarov A. retired ✺
ATP Marseille
25.02.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLL?L

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