Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Alexander Bublik		Emil Ruusuvuori

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.8	1.42
	2.92	1.46
	2.9	1.4
	2.83	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.68)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
33%

Emil Ruusuvuori
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Emil Ruusuvuori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Alexander Bublik - Emil Ruusuvuori Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Ruusuvuori will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ruusuvuori is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bublik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Denis Kudla - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Hugo Nys	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
22.09.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Barcelona
20.04.22	Alexander Bublik - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.21	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alexander Bublik	2:0

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