Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Alexander Bublik		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.63	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.46
	2.73	1.52
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.63	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.99)	1.49 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
35.9%

Denis Shapovalov
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.4%	0%	56.6%

Alexander Bublik - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 23 - 43.4%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 30 - 56.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 43.3% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Bublik will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Madrid
02.05.21	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
27.04.21	Alexander Bublik - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
21.04.21	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
20.04.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.21	Jeremy Chardy - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Madrid
02.05.21	Dusan Lajovic - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
29.04.21	Denis Shapovalov - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
22.04.21	Denis Shapovalov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
20.04.21	Denis Shapovalov - Jeremy Chardy	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.21	Denis Shapovalov - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
21.02.20	Alexander Bublik - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

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