Match Info

Date: 29 March 2021, Monday


	Denis Shapovalov		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.46	2.6
	1.51	2.78
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	2.68 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
64.4%

Hubert Hurkacz
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Denis Shapovalov - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (70 of 84 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.36% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shapovalov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hurkacz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Miami
27.03.21	Denis Shapovalov - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
19.03.21	Lloyd George Harris - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
18.03.21	Denis Shapovalov - Jeremy Chardy	2:0 ✺
17.03.21	Denis Shapovalov - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
16.03.21	Denis Shapovalov - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Miami
27.03.21	Denis Kudla - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
17.03.21	Denis Shapovalov - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
16.03.21	Richard Gasquet - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
04.03.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
02.03.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
17.03.21	Denis Shapovalov - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.19	Hubert Hurkacz - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.19	Hubert Hurkacz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

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