Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Alex De Minaur		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.08	8	Watch
	1.11	6.25
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.11	7.85
	1.1	6.75	Watch
	1.08	7.5
	1.1	7.1	Watch
	1.1	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.14)	7.18 ↑ (4.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
86.7%

Alexander Bublik
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex De Minaur's performance.

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Bublik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Bublik will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Sets - Bublik (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +8 Games - Bublik (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 9. Bublik is ranked ATP: 62.

Recent performances by De Minaur have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bublik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Alex De Minaur - Laslo Djere	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Tommy Paul - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Alexander Bublik - James Duckworth	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
10.03.24	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.22	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	Canceled
ATP Barcelona
21.04.21	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Antalya
13.01.21	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	Bublik A. retired

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