Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Alexander Bublik		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.70
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.92
	1.41	2.81	Watch
	1.44	2.85	Watch
	1.47	2.84	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.63)	2.8 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
66.1%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Diaz Acosta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Diaz Acosta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Alexander Bublik - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Diaz Acosta (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 3 - 75%). Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 11. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 108.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bublik might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 59.55%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
02.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Alexander Bublik	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW

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