Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday

Location: No. 1 Court (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
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Croatia	HBO Max
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Sweden	HBO Max


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.70
	1.42	2.79
	1.42	3.18
	1.42	2.95	Watch
	1.41	3
	1.46	2.78	Watch
	1.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.66)	2.88 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
66.7%

Alexander Bublik
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Bublik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taylor Harry Fritz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Bublik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	0%	29%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Bublik will win (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 55% – 87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fritz (votes: 1 - 50%). Bublik (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 7. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 4.

Fritz has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Bublik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fritz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fritz might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Fritz will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 40.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Patrick Kypson	3:0 ✺
30.06.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jack Draper	Canceled ✺
30.06.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Dusan Lajovic	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jan Choinski	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WW?W?
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
02.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Alexander Bublik	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Alexander Bublik	2:3 ✺
ATP Halle
16.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.26	Alexander Bublik - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
13.06.26	Alexander Bublik - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Olympic Games
27.07.24	Alexander Bublik - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	2:1
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.22	Alexander Bublik - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Miami
30.03.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Adelaide
11.01.20	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	0:2

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