Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alexander Zverev		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	1.33	3.40	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.30	Watch
	1.36	3.27	Watch
	1.34	3.40
	1.37	3.17	Watch
	1.35	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
71%

Alexander Bublik
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alexander Zverev - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2., and Bublik is ranked ATP: 22..

Zverev is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bublik has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Zverev may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Zverev for this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Zverev has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 70.48%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
24.06.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Alexander Bublik - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP Montpellier
06.02.22	Alexander Zverev - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Rotterdam
03.03.21	Alexander Zverev - Alexander Bublik	0:2

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