Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braunschweig, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.83
	1.43	2.63	Watch
	1.46	2.80	Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.50	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.65)	2.63 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
64.2%

Hugo Gaston
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 120. Gaston is ranked ATP: 118.

Diaz Acosta has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gaston is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diaz Acosta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Diaz Acosta will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Diaz Acosta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.48%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Hugo Gaston - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.52%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Rudolf Molleker - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Mika Petkovic	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:3 ✺
25.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Moez Echargui	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
27.08.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	3:0
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Diaz Acosta F. retired
ATP Hamburg
16.07.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	1:2
ATP Challenger
08.03.23	Hugo Gaston - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide