Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braunschweig, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Vilius Gaubas		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.51	1.59
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.09)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
38.8%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Vilius Gaubas - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Diaz Acosta (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 129. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 120.

Gaubas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diaz Acosta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Diaz Acosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diaz Acosta might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Diaz Acosta will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Facundo Diaz Acosta - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Vilius Gaubas	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Vilius Gaubas - Dusan Lajovic	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Vilius Gaubas - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Vilius Gaubas - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Rudolf Molleker - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
05.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

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