Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: FRENCH OPEN (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 30 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alexander Bublik		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.1	1.71
	2.06	1.78
	2.17	1.78
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.61)	1.75 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
45.5%

Giulio Zeppieri
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.

Giulio Zeppieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giulio Zeppieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giulio Zeppieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.5%	0%	36.5%

Alexander Bublik - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 33 - 63.5%). Zeppieri will win (votes: 19 - 36.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 50.4% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Zeppieri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Geneva
22.05.23	Alexander Bublik - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
14.05.23	Casper Ruud - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
12.05.23	Alexander Bublik - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	Alexander Bublik - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
24.05.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
22.05.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Dominik Koepfer - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL

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