Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 11 May 2023, Thursday


	Giulio Zeppieri		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.38	1.58
	2.4	1.56
	2.46	1.61
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.83)	1.56 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Zeppieri
38.8%

Daniel Altmaier
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giulio Zeppieri's performance.

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Altmaier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Zeppieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Altmaier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Giulio Zeppieri - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Zeppieri will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Altmaier will win (votes: 12 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zeppieri: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Zeppieri is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Altmaier is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zeppieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Altmaier will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Altmaier to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Mattia Bellucci - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Andrea Vavassori - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Marco Cecchinato - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Jozef Kovalik - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Roma
09.05.23	Daniel Altmaier - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Daniel Altmaier - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
03.05.23	Daniel Altmaier - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
02.05.23	Jaume Munar - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Daniel Altmaier - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWW

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