Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Alexander Bublik		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.54	2.48
	1.52	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.50
	1.54	2.55	Watch
	1.54	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	2.48 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
61.8%

Tomas Machac
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Machac will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 22., and Machac is ranked ATP: 75..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Machac may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bublik is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bublik has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
02.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Tomas Machac - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Toby Samuel - Tomas Machac	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Mees Rottgering - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
20.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:0
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:1

Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide