Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Alexander Bublik		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.28	3.60
	1.29	3.43
	1.3	3.95
	1.3	3.55	Watch
	1.24	4.08
	1.26	4.01	Watch
	1.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.24)	3.76 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
74.6%

Adrian Mannarino
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 16. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 67.

Bublik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mannarino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bublik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Alexander Bublik - Jeffrey John Wolf	3:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
25.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Alexander Bublik - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Adrian Mannarino	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Denis Shapovalov - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Doha
06.01.20	Alexander Bublik - Adrian Mannarino	2:0

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