Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Alexander Donski		Louis Wessels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.85	1.85	Watch
			Watch
	1.86	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)	1.84 (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
49.8%

Louis Wessels
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Louis Wessels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louis Wessels than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alexander Donski - Louis Wessels Predictions

Users Predictions: Louis Wessels will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Louis Wessels will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 731. Wessels is ranked ATP: 607.

Donski has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wessels is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Donski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Louis Wessels - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Alexander Donski - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Alexander Donski - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
17.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Alexander Donski - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Alexander Donski - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Louis Wessels
ATP Challenger
14.11.25	Louis Wessels - Charles Broom	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	James Kent Trotter - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Robin Catry - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Ronald Hohmann - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.07.21	Louis Wessels - Alexander Donski	2:1

Alexander Donski - Louis Wessels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide