Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Abedallah Shelbayh		Alexander Donski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.52	2.6
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.4)	2.54 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Abedallah Shelbayh
63.2%

Alexander Donski
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abedallah Shelbayh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alexander Donski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abedallah Shelbayh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Donski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Abedallah Shelbayh - Alexander Donski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 300. Donski is ranked ATP: 704.

Recent form of Shelbayh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Donski has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shelbayh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Miguel Damas - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Svyatoslav Gulin	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alberto Garcia Garcia	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Justin Engel - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
01.04.26	Alex Martinez - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Alexander Donski - Eric Vanshelboim	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Alexander Donski - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Alexander Donski - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Alexander Donski - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW

Abedallah Shelbayh - Alexander Donski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide