Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Alexander Ritschard		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.76
	3.19	1.32	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Ritschard
43.5%

Thiago Monteiro
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Ritschard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alexander Ritschard - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ritschard will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Monteiro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ritschard is ranked ATP: 314. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 170.

Ritschard is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monteiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ritschard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ritschard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Monteiro - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
23.08.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Henri Squire - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Alexander Ritschard - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
21.08.25	Alexander Ritschard - Max Schoenhaus	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Alexander Ritschard - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Murphy Cassone - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.09.20	Thiago Monteiro - Alexander Ritschard	2:0

Alexander Ritschard - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide