Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Murphy Cassone		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.38	2.95
	1.38	3.14
	1.24	4.20	Watch
	1.53	2.38
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.67)	3.01 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
68.2%

Thiago Monteiro
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murphy Cassone's performance.

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Monteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murphy Cassone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Monteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Murphy Cassone - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Monteiro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Monteiro (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 173. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 168.

Cassone has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monteiro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cassone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cassone might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
13.08.25	Darwin Blanch - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Reilly Opelka - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Andrej Martin - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

Murphy Cassone - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide