Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Thiago Monteiro		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.78
			Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.49)	2.64 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
63.9%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Budkov Kjaer: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Monteiro (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Budkov Kjaer (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 152. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 298.

Monteiro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Budkov Kjaer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monteiro could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Andrej Martin - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Thiago Monteiro	Monteiro T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLL?
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Lorenzo Lorusso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW

Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide