Match Info

Date: 2 August 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Alexander Weis		Luca Castagnola

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Alexander Weis
71.7%

Luca Castagnola
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Recent matches Weis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castagnola is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castagnola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Weis is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
30.07.22	Oliver Crawford - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
29.07.22	Alexander Weis - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
28.07.22	Alexander Weis - Radu Mihai Papoe	2:1 ✺
05.07.22	Filippo Speziali - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
01.07.22	Andrea Picchione - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL
- Luca Castagnola
ATP Challenger
17.07.22	Luca Castagnola - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.22	Ergi Kirkin - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
06.07.22	Moez Echargui - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
05.07.22	Daniele Capecchi - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
29.06.22	Jurgen Briand - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWL

Alexander Weis - Luca Castagnola