Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1


	Alexander Zverev		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.10	Watch
	1.37	2.95	Watch
	1.41	2.99	Watch
	1.37	3.25
	1.34	3.37	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	3.12 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
69.5%

Novak Djokovic
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Novak Djokovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Djokovic (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Zverev (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Zverev will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 3 - 75%). Djokovic (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2., and Djokovic is ranked ATP: 11..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 2.

Zverev is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zverev may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Zverev carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Zverev has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:26 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Beijing
03.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Nuno Borges - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Mariano Navone - Novak Djokovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Novak Djokovic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
04.06.25	Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic	1:3
ATP Australian Open
23.01.25	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	Djokovic N. retired
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.23	Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic	0:2
Exhibition World Tennis League
20.12.22	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
20.11.21	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP US Open
10.09.21	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	3:2
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.21	Novak Djokovic - Alexander Zverev	1:2

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