Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 18 January 2026, Sunday
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Alexandr Binda |
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Sebastian Sorger |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alexandr Binda 48.6% | Sebastian Sorger 51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandr Binda's form might have worsened.Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Sorger's recent form is better than expected.Alexandr Binda - Sebastian Sorger Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Binda will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sorger will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Binda (votes: 1 - 50%). Sorger (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 Games - Binda (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Binda (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sorger (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Binda is ranked ATP: 445. Sorger is ranked ATP: 559.Binda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Sorger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;