Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Sebastian Sorger		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.95	1.36
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	2.94	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Sorger
31%

Gianluca Cadenasso
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Sorger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Sebastian Sorger - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sorger is ranked ATP: 585. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 507.

Sorger is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cadenasso is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cadenasso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cadenasso is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cadenasso will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sorger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
20.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Alexandre Aubriot - Sebastian Sorger	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Felix Gill - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger	2:0

Sebastian Sorger - Gianluca Cadenasso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide