Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Sebastian Sorger

	1	2
			Watch
	1.41	2.81
	1.33	2.98	Watch
	1.41	2.73	Watch
	1.45	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	2.79 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
66.6%

Sebastian Sorger
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sebastian Sorger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Cadenasso (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cadenasso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 500. Sorger is ranked ATP: 601.

Cadenasso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sorger is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cadenasso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
17.10.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Felix Gill - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Gabriele Crivellaro - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Federico Iannaccone - Gianluca Cadenasso	Cadenasso G. retired ✺
03.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWW?L
- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
17.10.25	Alexandre Aubriot - Sebastian Sorger	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Gabriele Crivellaro - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide