Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Sebastian Sorger		Denis Yevseyev

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.65	1.5
	2.59	1.45	Watch
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.1)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Sorger
36.6%

Denis Yevseyev
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Sorger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Sorger's form might have worsened.

Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Yevseyev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Sorger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Sebastian Sorger - Denis Yevseyev Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Sorger will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Sorger will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sorger is ranked ATP: 559. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 400.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sorger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yevseyev might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Alexandre Aubriot - Sebastian Sorger	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW
- Denis Yevseyev
ITF Tournaments
16.11.25	Vincent Marysko - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Luca Staeheli - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Sergey Petrov - Denis Yevseyev	Petrov S. retired ✺
12.11.25	Ruslan Tiukaev - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Denis Yevseyev - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LW?WL

Sebastian Sorger - Denis Yevseyev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide