Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Abu Dhabi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Alexandra Eala		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.55	1.29
	3.65	1.33
	3.53	1.30	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.54	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandra Eala
26.6%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandra Eala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandra Eala's form might have worsened.

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandra Eala than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandra Eala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Alexandra Eala - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Eala (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Alexandrova (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Eala (votes: 3 - 30%). Alexandrova (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Eala is ranked WTA: 45. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 11.

Eala is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alexandrova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Eala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alexandrova is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandra Eala
WTA Abu Dhabi
04.02.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Alexandra Eala	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Alexandra Eala - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Alina Charaeva - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Abu Dhabi
04.02.26	Dayana Yastremska - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Zeynep Sonmez	1:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
07.01.26	Karolina Muchova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Sofia Kenin - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW

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