Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: 1573 Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Zeynep Sonmez

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	3.95	Watch
	1.26	3.88	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.26	3.95	Watch
	1.32	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.18)	3.75 ↓ (4.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
74.6%

Zeynep Sonmez
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Zeynep Sonmez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Zeynep Sonmez Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Sonmez will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5 Games - Alexandrova (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 4 - 80%). Sonmez (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 11. Sonmez is ranked WTA: 112.

Sonmez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alexandrova is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alexandrova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
07.01.26	Karolina Muchova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Sofia Kenin - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Finals
05.11.25	Elena Rybakina - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
WTA Tokyo
24.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Zeynep Sonmez
WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Anastasia Gasanova	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Laura Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
03.01.26	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Zeynep Sonmez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
05.07.25	Zeynep Sonmez - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2

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